Força e Luz vs Alecrim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 0
FEL
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ABC
4 - 0
FEL
83%
13%
4%
|
30 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
3 - 1
FEL
58%
23%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
ARN
4 - 0
FEL
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 3
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Alecrim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
POT
5 - 1
ALE
44%
25%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
GLO
0 - 0
ALE
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
1 - 0
POT
37%
24%
39%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 2
ALE
24%
21%
56%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
6 - 0
ATP
78%
14%
8%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |