Força e Luz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
63.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 2
ARN
26%
23%
51%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
FEL
2 - 2
GLO
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
POT
2 - 1
FEL
36%
23%
41%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 4
FEL
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
FEL
1 - 1
PAL
60%
20%
20%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
GLO
1 - 2
ABC
26%
24%
50%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
ASS
0 - 6
ABC
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 4
POT
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |