Força e Luz vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.2%
79.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
10.8%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
POT
1 - 0
FEL
48%
22%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
FEL
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2018 |
ASS
2 - 0
FEL
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 1
GLO
20%
23%
58%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FEL
0 - 4
ARN
17%
22%
61%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
3 - 1
VIT
13%
21%
66%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
CIA
2 - 0
ABC
33%
26%
42%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
ABC
2 - 0
GLO
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
ARN
3 - 0
ABC
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |