Forbach vs Sarreguemines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
MET
5 - 1
FOR
82%
13%
6%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 0
THA
50%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
FCS
0 - 0
FOR
74%
16%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAG
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
RAO
3 - 2
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sarreguemines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
THA
1 - 2
SAR
49%
23%
29%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 0
PAG
48%
22%
31%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BIE
1 - 1
SAR
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
ILL
35%
21%
43%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
STR
1 - 1
SAR
75%
16%
9%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |