Forbach vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
78.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.9%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
FCS
17%
23%
60%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
LUN
4 - 0
FOR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 3
BIE
50%
24%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAN
3 - 0
FOR
64%
20%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
PAG
43%
23%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 1
LEN
49%
25%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
REI
3 - 0
ASN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
ANG
3 - 2
ASN
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
ASN
2 - 2
CLE
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
GAZ
2 - 1
ASN
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |