Forbach vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1992 |
CAN
1 - 1
ASN
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1992 |
ASN
3 - 1
MPL
41%
30%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1992 |
BAS
0 - 0
ASN
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
ASN
3 - 1
SOC
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 2
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |