Forbach vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BIE
2 - 3
FOR
56%
21%
23%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
PAG
1 - 0
FOR
57%
21%
23%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 5
ILL
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STR
2 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAU
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 1
MEZ
64%
18%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 2
SAR
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
NAN
2 - 2
FCS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LUN
1 - 0
NAN
39%
23%
39%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NAN
0 - 0
BIE
69%
17%
15%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |