Forbach vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
1.5%
Win probability
0.13
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
0.2%
+1
1.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
0.2%
0
12.1%
86.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
20.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.2%
-1
23.9%
0-2
23.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.8%
0-3
17.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
0.2%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 2
DIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
VAU
0 - 1
FOR
50%
23%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 0
JAR
22%
22%
56%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
STR
4 - 1
FOR
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
TRO
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
LIL
1 - 1
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LIL
3 - 0
GEN
72%
16%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
ARL
0 - 1
LIL
14%
24%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
LIL
6 - 3
LOR
66%
20%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |