Forbach vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.3%
80.3%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
25%
0-2
19.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
14%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1995 |
FOR
2 - 4
GIR
4%
18%
79%
|
17 | 85 | 68 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1994 |
FOR
0 - 1
SED
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
FOR
0 - 3
FCM
26%
24%
50%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1993 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASN
10%
19%
71%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | +1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2002 |
SOC
3 - 0
LEN
40%
27%
33%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 0
LHA
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2002 |
LEN
1 - 0
FCP
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
ASB
3 - 3
LEN
24%
28%
48%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2002 |
TRO
0 - 0
LEN
39%
28%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |