Forbach vs Jarville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
1 - 0
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
COL
47%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 2
THA
58%
22%
20%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ILL
0 - 3
FOR
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 1
PON
42%
25%
33%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Jarville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
JAR
0 - 2
DIJ
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SAI
3 - 2
JAR
50%
24%
26%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
JAR
8 - 0
STE
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
STR
3 - 0
JAR
78%
15%
6%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
JAR
1 - 1
THA
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |