Forbach vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STR
2 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 1
VAU
49%
22%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MEZ
2 - 1
FOR
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 3
SCH
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
MET
1 - 0
FOR
52%
22%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
FCS
39%
26%
35%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
LUN
3 - 3
ILL
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
BIE
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ILL
1 - 2
PAG
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |