Footscray JUST vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Footscray JUST
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
ADE
3 - 0
FOO
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
PLI
2 - 1
FOO
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
FOO
2 - 0
WAD
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
FOO
0 - 1
STG
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
API
2 - 0
FOO
64%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
API
0 - 0
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
API
2 - 3
HEU
49%
25%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
STG
2 - 1
API
62%
22%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
CAN
1 - 0
API
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
API
2 - 0
FOO
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |