Fontenay vs St. Philbert de Grand Lieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
2º
13º
4º
16
9º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
23 | 44 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
24 | 42 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 41 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 40 |
4º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 40 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 38 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
7º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 37 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 36 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 32 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
77.5% | 45% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 44.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ESO
1 - 1
FON
42%
26%
33%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
FON
3 - 0
LAT
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 3
FON
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
FON
1 - 2
ESO
43%
24%
33%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
FON
2 - 0
USS
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
0 - 2
QUE
6%
14%
80%
|
39 | 69 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 2
SPG
37%
23%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SPG
4 - 0
ESO
43%
25%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 1
PAU
3%
8%
89%
|
37 | 72 | 35 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |