Fontenay vs Saint-Nazaire AF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
9º
4º
22
10º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 2
FON
27%
26%
48%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FON
4 - 3
SAB
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
FON
0 - 2
USS
28%
24%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LAV
1 - 1
FON
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LPS
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Nazaire AF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 1
USS
15%
19%
66%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LAV
2 - 1
SNA
60%
20%
20%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
1 - 2
SPG
26%
22%
51%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
SNA
2 - 0
ACG
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LPS
5 - 0
SNA
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |