Fontenay vs Nantes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
41.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
6º
13º
7º
6
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
7 | 48 |
1º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 44 |
2º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
6 | 44 |
3º
|
11.5% | |
|
3º
|
7 | 42 |
4º
|
5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 41 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 38 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
|
7º
|
6 | 38 |
7º
|
8% | |
|
2º
|
9 | 38 |
8º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 37 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 36 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 34 |
11º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 28 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 17 |
14º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 11.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 79% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
13% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 1
FON
33%
28%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FON
2 - 2
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SNA
1 - 3
FON
22%
24%
54%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nantes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
3 - 1
SPG
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 2
RED
8%
17%
76%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
FON
50%
27%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
USS
2 - 0
NAN
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAN
0 - 0
LAV
56%
25%
19%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |