Fontenay vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
71.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.9%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
YZE
2 - 0
FON
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
FON
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FON
2 - 0
LEM
30%
27%
43%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FON
0 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 0
FON
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LYO
3 - 0
LOR
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
LOR
4 - 1
VAN
74%
18%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2010 |
LOR
0 - 0
MPL
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TFC
3 - 0
LOR
37%
28%
35%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
LOR
3 - 0
LEN
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |