Fontenay vs FUSC Bois Guillaume analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
FON
0 - 1
STL
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FON
2 - 2
LYO
1%
15%
84%
|
41 | 89 | 48 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
FON
1 - 0
SED
5%
18%
78%
|
39 | 82 | 43 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
FON
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
CHA
2 - 2
FON
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |