Fontenay vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
9º
4º
30
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
50 | 53 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
89.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 2
FON
42%
25%
34%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
USS
1 - 1
FON
53%
25%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
ACG
1 - 0
FON
14%
20%
67%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
48%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SPG
1 - 2
FON
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
USS
11%
19%
71%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LAV
2 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 36 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
SPG
21%
22%
58%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LPS
2 - 0
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CHA
4 - 0
ACG
71%
17%
12%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |