Fontenay vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
STA
0 - 2
FON
33%
28%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
LES
4 - 1
FON
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FON
2 - 0
STP
39%
26%
36%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
FON
1 - 0
LAV
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
FON
0 - 1
LOR
9%
19%
72%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
0 - 0
VCH
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |