Fontanafredda vs Luparense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontanafredda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 2
FON
70%
18%
12%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
FON
2 - 1
FMO
41%
24%
36%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SAC
0 - 0
FON
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FON
1 - 1
DCA
41%
24%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
TRI
2 - 1
FON
58%
21%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
TAM
0 - 2
SAN
49%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
CNO
59%
21%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
6 - 0
LIV
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 3
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -1 |