Fondi vs Milazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
APR
3 - 1
FON
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FON
2 - 1
GIU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 0
FON
61%
22%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FON
5 - 2
FCC
70%
18%
12%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 0
FON
49%
24%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Milazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
3 - 2
ACI
55%
24%
21%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 0
MIL
21%
24%
55%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
PRG
25%
26%
49%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
USV
1 - 0
MIL
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MIL
0 - 0
NEA
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |