Fondi vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
44.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PAG
1 - 0
FON
71%
19%
10%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
FON
2 - 2
GAV
30%
24%
46%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
FON
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
CHI
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
USV
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 2
ARZ
50%
25%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
USV
0 - 1
LAQ
24%
26%
50%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAQ
3 - 0
EBO
49%
25%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 0
LAQ
29%
26%
45%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
2 - 1
FAN
63%
22%
16%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |