Fondi vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
46.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fondi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
FON
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 0
CHI
32%
25%
43%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
FON
2 - 1
USV
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 0
FON
75%
16%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FON
1 - 1
CAM
50%
24%
26%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 0
FCC
68%
19%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 1
GAV
33%
25%
42%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 6
GAV
57%
22%
21%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NEA
1 - 2
GAV
45%
24%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |