Follo vs Skeid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
6º
13º
11º
27
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 50 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
27 | 48 |
2º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 47 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 45 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 44 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 43 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 37 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 37 |
9º
|
21.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 36 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
|
11º
|
16 | 34 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 22 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 13 |
13º
|
57% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 8 |
14º
|
74% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 19.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 13.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93.5% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STB
4 - 2
FOL
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 0
ALT
38%
24%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
OPP
3 - 1
FOL
19%
21%
60%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 0
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
FOL
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Skeid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 2
RAU
28%
22%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
SKE
1 - 0
KJE
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STR
0 - 3
SKE
61%
21%
19%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
GOF
0 - 2
SKE
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SKE
2 - 2
TRO
28%
24%
48%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |