Follo vs Oppsal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
11.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FOL
5 - 1
GRO
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
SEN
0 - 0
FOL
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
5 - 2
TRO
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
2 - 2
FOL
25%
23%
52%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
KJE
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Oppsal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2016 |
STA
5 - 2
OPP
36%
22%
43%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
OPP
1 - 4
GRO
22%
22%
56%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ALT
3 - 1
OPP
62%
19%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
OPP
0 - 2
SEN
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
TRO
6 - 1
OPP
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |