Follo vs Kjelsås analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
13º
9º
40
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 55 |
1º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
2º
|
50.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 47 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 44 |
7º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 41 |
8º
|
48.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 34 |
9º
|
49.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 31 |
10º
|
34% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 21 |
12º
|
99.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 10 |
13º
|
56.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
14º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 10% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 0
ULL
27%
24%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 1
FOL
43%
23%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 2
IKJ
60%
20%
20%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EID
4 - 2
FOL
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 6
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Kjelsås
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
KJE
0 - 0
SKE
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
EID
3 - 1
KJE
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KJE
3 - 1
STR
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 0
KJE
18%
23%
59%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KJE
3 - 4
GRO
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |