Follo vs Junkeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
13º
9º
23
4º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
EID
4 - 2
FOL
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FOL
4 - 6
VAL
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
FOL
2 - 0
STR
48%
23%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
5 - 2
FOL
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Junkeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
IKJ
0 - 0
STR
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ULL
5 - 1
IKJ
74%
15%
11%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
IKJ
0 - 3
KJE
20%
24%
55%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 2
IKJ
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
IKJ
2 - 0
VAL
64%
17%
19%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |