Follo vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
HOD
2 - 2
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
FOL
3 - 2
LOV
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
SPA
2 - 0
FOL
60%
22%
18%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
FOL
1 - 3
MOS
32%
26%
43%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
SOG
2 - 2
FOL
66%
19%
14%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
HON
2 - 1
HAU
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
HON
3 - 0
HOD
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
LOV
0 - 3
HON
23%
23%
54%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
HON
3 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
MOS
7 - 3
HON
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |