Follo vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
KJE
1 - 0
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
FOL
18%
21%
61%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 1
ALT
60%
21%
19%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
4 - 0
FOL
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
GRO
28%
23%
50%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
SEN
4 - 1
HAR
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
TRO
45%
22%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
OPP
35%
23%
43%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KJE
2 - 2
HAR
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |