Follo vs Gjøvik-Lyn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-59%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
13º
10º
5
11º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
60.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 53 |
2º
|
55% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 47 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 45 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 44 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 42 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
59.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 32 |
9º
|
38% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 10 |
13º
|
71% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 9 |
14º
|
71% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
FOL
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FOL
3 - 1
TRO
26%
24%
51%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
IKJ
3 - 4
FOL
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 2
EID
30%
24%
46%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ULL
1 - 2
FOL
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Gjøvik-Lyn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
GJO
0 - 1
SKE
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
STB
4 - 0
GJO
78%
13%
9%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
GRO
8 - 0
GJO
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
GJO
1 - 4
ULL
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 0
GJO
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |