Folkestone Invicta vs Merstham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
UXB
60%
21%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
5 - 0
HAR
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
BIS
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ENF
2 - 3
FOL
51%
22%
26%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
HAR
0 - 2
FOL
18%
20%
62%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Merstham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MER
0 - 1
BRI
79%
13%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
3 - 1
MER
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
MER
1 - 3
HOR
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
BIS
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MER
2 - 2
EAS
61%
20%
20%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |