FA Cup 1/256
Global 5-6
Folkestone Invicta vs Eastleigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 3
FOL
41%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
5 - 1
BRI
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
GLO
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
3 - 3
POT
72%
17%
11%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASH
2 - 7
FOL
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Eastleigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 3
FOL
41%
24%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
WEA
1 - 2
EAS
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
EAS
44%
25%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
EAS
1 - 1
BOR
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
EAS
3 - 2
WOK
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |