Foligno Calcio vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
TER
3 - 1
FOL
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FON
0 - 1
FOL
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
FOL
10%
19%
71%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | -3 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASD
67%
21%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
USP
2 - 0
LAQ
44%
27%
29%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
ARZ
2 - 1
USP
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
USP
1 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
2 - 1
USP
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
USP
3 - 0
RAA
61%
24%
16%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |