Foligno Calcio vs US Alessandria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
COM
2 - 2
FOL
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
SOR
2 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
FOL
4 - 2
FCV
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
ASS
43%
27%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
US Alessandria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
USA
0 - 3
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
FCV
0 - 2
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
USA
2 - 1
LEC
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
USA
1 - 2
ASS
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
COM
1 - 0
USA
26%
26%
48%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |