Foligno Calcio vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
GEL
0 - 0
FOL
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
FOL
0 - 1
ASA
54%
25%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
FOL
55%
24%
22%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
FOL
2 - 1
USF
30%
27%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
FCV
1 - 3
FOL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
TER
1 - 3
BEN
25%
26%
48%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SSB
1 - 2
TER
34%
28%
38%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
TER
1 - 1
CAV
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
PIS
1 - 0
TER
61%
24%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
TER
0 - 1
ASL
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |