Foligno Calcio vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 1
FOL
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 2
FOL
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASF
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
4 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PIA
5 - 3
VIR
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAV
40%
29%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RAV
0 - 1
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIR
1 - 0
RIM
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +1 |