Foligno Calcio vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
PRG
0 - 2
FOL
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASF
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
4 - 2
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
FOL
1 - 1
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 3
ACS
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ASL
3 - 3
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 2
VFC
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
SAC
2 - 0
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOC
61%
22%
17%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |