Foligno Calcio vs San Donato Tavarnelle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
71.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 1
UST
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BAS
1 - 2
FOL
76%
16%
8%
|
11 | 26 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 4
ASC
5%
15%
80%
|
11 | 63 | 52 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
FOL
81%
13%
5%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
MON
5%
12%
84%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
San Donato Tavarnelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
GAV
2 - 3
SDT
51%
26%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
GAV
2 - 0
SDT
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 3
SDT
31%
27%
43%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
SDT
1 - 1
GHI
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SGP
2 - 1
SDT
16%
22%
62%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | -1 |