Foligno Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
22.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 2
PIS
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
JUS
1 - 1
FOL
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
FOL
0 - 0
PRG
33%
28%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
POT
1 - 1
FOL
34%
29%
38%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
VIR
3 - 1
FOL
32%
30%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
JUS
49%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ARZ
3 - 0
PAG
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 0
SOR
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
USF
1 - 1
PAG
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
TER
1 - 0
PAG
49%
27%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |