Foligno Calcio vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ASS
1 - 1
FOL
49%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAV
0 - 1
FOL
53%
26%
22%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 1
PRO
55%
26%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 2
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
UNI
49%
28%
24%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 1
USF
31%
28%
42%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
PAD
2 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
PAG
1 - 1
USC
27%
26%
47%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 0
PAG
51%
26%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PAG
0 - 0
ASS
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |