Foligno Calcio vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
23.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VER
1 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
TER
47%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
ASS
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
CAV
39%
29%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
NOV
61%
24%
16%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAG
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
ASS
1 - 1
NOV
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 0
UNI
48%
27%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |