Foligno Calcio vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FLA
3 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 1
FOL
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
VOL
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FCV
3 - 0
FOL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ASG
1 - 0
FOL
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
MON
43%
27%
30%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 0
LAQ
18%
21%
61%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
LAQ
34%
25%
41%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RIM
3 - 1
LAQ
42%
27%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
RIM
35%
28%
37%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |