Foligno Calcio vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
UNI
0 - 1
FOL
51%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
SSM
1 - 1
FOL
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
FOL
4 - 0
LEC
39%
29%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
VIT
2 - 2
FOL
30%
27%
44%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
FOL
2 - 0
CUO
56%
24%
19%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CTT
1 - 2
PAD
53%
27%
21%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 1
PAD
38%
30%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 0
ASS
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAD
0 - 1
GRO
38%
28%
35%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 0
PAD
42%
29%
30%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |