Foligno Calcio vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
2 - 0
FOL
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
PON
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FOL
14%
20%
65%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 3
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 2
APR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TER
2 - 1
BOR
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
0 - 0
VIG
41%
27%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 0
BOR
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
BOR
4 - 4
RAA
64%
23%
13%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |