Foligno Calcio vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
FOL
38%
25%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
SPA
30%
28%
43%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
FOL
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
FOL
50%
24%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FOL
1 - 2
TAR
22%
31%
47%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
APR
5 - 1
ARZ
63%
20%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
APR
1 - 1
ASM
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LAQ
0 - 1
APR
34%
26%
41%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 1
ACI
77%
15%
9%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
APR
2 - 0
NEA
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |