Foligno Calcio vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PAG
2 - 2
FOL
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
2 - 0
PER
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
BEN
2 - 0
FOL
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
ASF
4 - 2
FOL
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
LEC
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
UDI
2 - 0
ACL
81%
14%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 0
FCV
74%
18%
8%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACL
1 - 1
PRO
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
POT
0 - 3
ACL
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |