Folgore Veregra vs Matelica Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Veregra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
FAN
3 - 0
FVE
75%
15%
9%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
FVE
1 - 2
MON
49%
22%
29%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VIS
1 - 1
FVE
55%
22%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Matelica Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
3 - 3
AMI
65%
19%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GIU
2 - 1
MAT
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAT
4 - 1
ISE
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAN
2 - 2
MAT
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
FCC
77%
15%
8%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |