Folgore vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
64.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
17.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.4%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 2
MUR
43%
26%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
TFI
13%
19%
68%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
FAE
4 - 1
FOL
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 2
FOL
48%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
6 - 1
FAE
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
DOM
77%
16%
7%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 1
VIR
12%
22%
66%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
FIO
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 3
VIR
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |