Folgore vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
6º
11º
7º
57
3º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 23 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 1
FOL
21%
23%
56%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
4 - 1
CAI
66%
21%
12%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
TFI
2 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
14%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
FOL
1 - 2
JUV
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DOM
2 - 1
FOL
22%
25%
54%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
25%
25%
51%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAI
1 - 3
VIR
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
TPE
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |