Folgore vs Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
FAE
0 - 1
FOL
18%
25%
58%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
FOL
0 - 1
CAI
72%
19%
9%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
JUV
0 - 4
FOL
14%
22%
64%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
SGI
0 - 0
FOL
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 0
TFI
31%
26%
43%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DOM
0 - 0
VIR
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 0
FAE
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 0
CAI
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 1
VIR
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |